A population base often determines the tax base. In other words, where people flee from tend to experience losses in revenue whereas places people migrate to tend to experience greater revenue streams. The Internal Revenue Service released last week its migration and tax returns data from all states from 2020-2021 in the Union that breaks down population and taxation data, according to Just the News. Unsurprisingly for many, the data showed that deeply Democrat-led states tend to suffer the most losses in population and to their tax base whereas Republican states tended to experience the most gains due to a growing population and increase in their revenue base.
Safely Democratic California, where no Republican has served in the executive statewide office since 2011 with the departures of former Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger and Insurance Commissioner Steven Poizner, has lost the most residents compared to any other state in the United States as they suffered a net loss “of nearly 332,000 people and more than $29 billion in adjusted gross income in 2021.” The second-highest state to suffer a net loss of people and tax revenue was deeply blue New York which witnessed an exodus of “over 262,000 residents and $24.5 billion in income.”
Illinois is another deeply blue state where no Republican has served in the executive statewide office since the departure of former Governor Bruce Rauner in 2019 and has not elected Republicans to the state executive mansion consecutively since former Governor George Ryan’s run in 1998. According to Just the News‘s summarization of IRS data, it incurred a net loss “of 105,000 people in 2021 and $10.8 billion in income.” Massachusetts, a reliably Democratic state that has not voted for a Republican presidential candidate since 1984, incurred a net loss “of 44,000 people and nearly $4.3 billion in income.”
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So too has New Jersey, which has on the federal level not voted for a Republican presidential candidate since 1988, suffered a loss of 26,000 persons “and $3.8 billion less in income.” In fairness, Louisiana, a Republican state, is also listed as a state that has suffered population and tax revenue losses, albeit at a much less steep rate than any of the above-highlighted cases. It lost “28,500 people and $861 million in income.”
In comparison, states that experienced high gains in population and tax revenue were Republican-led. Florida gained the most residents and biggest tax revenue increase with it getting “over 255,000 people and $39 billion in income.” Texas, the Lone Star State, experienced the second largest increase with “nearly 175,000 residents and $10.9 billion in income.” North Carolina, a swing state that has voted consecutively Republican on the presidential level since 2012, has witnessed “a net gain of nearly 77,000 residents” and an uptick of adjusted gross income of $4.54 billion. South Carolina saw an increase of more than 64,000 persons and $4.19 billion in tax income. Tennessee saw an increase of 62,015 persons and $4.15 billion in income.
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