A Trump Win 'Seems Inevitable', Leading Historian Lays Out Why Trump Is Destined To Win In 2024

A new analysis from world-renowned Hoover Institute historian Dr. Niall Fergusen, author of 'DOOM: The Politics of Catastrophe', outlines the collective nightmare of the greater Democratic party, the radical left, and the biased establishment media, distilled and crystallized into its purest form. He wrote that the second Donald J. Trump presidency "seems inevitable."

To front-load the esteemed historian's detailed analysis published in The Spectator on Saturday, he wrote, "...The lesson of history is clear — the Republican front-runner usually wins the nomination, and a post-recession incumbent usually loses the presidential election."

To open the dose of cold-hard reality for the left he wrote, "Democratic strategists believe that Biden will always beat Trump. And they believe that Trump’s sea of legal troubles will ultimately drown him as a candidate. Both these views betray a failure of imagination."

In a firm rebuke to leftist outlets crowing over Trump's recent loss in a New York defamation lawsuit and the ongoing lawfare against him, Ferguson observed, "'Lawfare' won't kill Trump. If Lula can come back from 1.5 years in jail to win, Trump has little to worry about. Indeed, the perception that Democratic operatives are using the legal system for political ends will likely help him win votes."
 
He cites among others the astute observation of former President Bill Clinton's chief strategist James Carville, "It's the economy stupid," and backed it up to the hilt with the examples of former President Jimmy Carter and even the astonishing near-victory of one-term President Gerald R. Ford before him, despite the looming ghost of Richard Nixon's resignation and subsequent pardon.
 

Regarding Carter's cratering loss to Reagan in 1980 he noted the single most powerful factor that would seem to determine a Trump victory in 2024,

"In 1980, it was Carter’s turn to lose, in part because of 'last-minute rejections of [his] handling of the economy,' in part because of the Iran hostage crisis. 'Inflation and unemployment had been a constant drag on Mr. Carter throughout the race,' reported the New York Times. 'The issue got new prominence when Mr. Reagan stressed it as he closed his argument in the debate in Cleveland by saying, ‘Ask yourself, are you better off than you were four years ago?’"

Unga The Great, posting to Twitter and Rumble, noted Ferguson's saliant conclusion regarding the Democrat lawfare being waged against Trump: "… these cases are designed simultaneously to make Trump the nominee and to discredit him… it's going to fail for one very, very simple reason. There is highly likely to be a recession between now and November of next year… no president since Calvin Coolidge, nearly 100 years ago, has won reelection.”

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