New 'Phenomenal' Pew Research Poll Reveals The Key Demo That Will Decide The Presidential Race

On Wednesday, Pew Research released a detailed poll into the state of the race between 45th President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris. With recent polls showing Harris gaining substantial momentum in the presidential race, the Pew survey, conducted from August 5 to August 11, paints a clearer picture of where the race stands.

The survey, conducted with 9,201 registered voters, found that Trump and Harris are practically tied, given the poll's 1.3 percent margin of error. The survey found that Harris has the support of 46 percent of the national electorate while Trump has the backing of 45 percent, independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. has seven percent support, and one percent of respondents supported another candidate.

The poll found several striking patterns among respondents, including a wide gender gap, the impact of education on voter choice, and disparities in support by race. Among male voters, 49 percent supported President Trump, while 44 percent backed Harris. For female voters, Harris holds a seven-point lead, with 49 percent compared to Trump's 42 percent.

When broken down by age, Harris is supported more so by younger voters than members of the Baby Boomer generation or Generation X. The poll found that Harris is winning over 18 to 29-year-olds by 28 points, 57 percent to 29 percent. Amongst 30 to 49-year-olds, Harris has 45 percent support compared to Trump's 43 percent. The 45th president, however, has a five-point lead amongst 50 to 64-year-olds, 49 percent to 44 percent, and a six-point lead amongst voters 65 and older.

The poll also found a remarkable education gap: 63 percent of voters with a postgraduate degree backed Harris compared to 32 percent backing Trump. College graduates are more split, with 51 percent backing Harris and 41 percent backing Trump. Non-college graduates, however, support Trump by 15 percent, with Trump holding 53 percent support compared to Harris' 38 percent.

Lastly, the poll found that Harris has the majority support amongst people of color, which includes African Americans (77 percent to Trump's 13 percent), Hispanic Americans (52 percent to Trump's 35 percent), and Asian Americans (62 percent to Trump's 28 percent). Trump holds a considerable lead amongst white Americans, with 52 percent backing it compared to Kamala's 41 percent.

Pew's findings are a welcome sign for Donald Trump amid a series of negative polls in recent weeks. A tied race in the popular vote will result in an electoral college victory in November, and his strength amongst non-college-educated voters could win him the White House in November. "This poll is phenomenal for Trump. He’s doing great with women, and a huge sample size. Trailing by 1 nationally in popular vote means electoral college victory most likely (actually almost certainly)," Breitbart's Matthew Boyle noted. "White working class voters will determine the election. Trump has to dial in on these voters hardcore to run up the score. They’re the key to the rust belt."

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