New Polling Shows Biden Trailing Trump In Every Swing State, Tied In Historically Democrat State

A new poll from Emerson College on Thursday revealed presumptive GOP nominee Donald Trump's strength in the swing states and his competitiveness in the historically Democrat-leaning Minnesota. The polling, conducted from June 13-18, comes three weeks after Trump was found guilty of 34 counts of falsifying business records, a central highlight by the Biden campaign that has seemingly had little influence on the presidential race. 

The survey, which interviewed 1,000 registered voters for each state, revealed a significant trend with Trump leading Biden in every swing state and being tied with the incumbent Democrat in Minnesota. This is a crucial development, as Trump has a strong four-point lead in Arizona (47 percent to 43 percent) and in Georgia (45 percent to 41 percent), while he has a three-point lead over Biden in Wisconsin (47 percent to 44 percent) and Nevada (46 percent to 43 percent). 

The 45th president also leads the 81-year-old Democrat in Pennsylvania by two points (47 percent to 45 percent) and one point in Michigan (46 percent to 45 percent). The poll also found that President Trump could defeat Biden in the Land of 10,000 Lakes, with both men holding 45 percent support.

"In our first polling in several key swing states since Trump's conviction last month, there has been little movement, with support for both Trump and Biden staying largely consistent since November," Emerson College Polling Executive Director Spencer Kimball said, adding that the results fall within the poll's three percent margin of error. The polling executive explained that independent voters have been continuing to support Trump in the swing states but added that Republican Senate nominees are having difficulty replicating the ex-president's success.

According to the Emerson survey, Republican candidates are trailing Democrats in Arizona, Minnesota, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Democratic Senate nominees outperform President Biden by two points in Arizona, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, three points in Minnesota, and seven points in Nevada. 

While Senate Republicans have been unable to replicate Trump's momentum, the 45th president has been resolute in his aim to reshape the electoral map in November. He has previously said that he's planning on making a "heavy play" for Minnesota, telling Breitbart earlier this year, "One of the other things I'm going to do — and I may be foolish in doing it — is I'm going to make a heavy play for New York, heavy play for New Jersey, heavy play for Virginia, heavy play for New Mexico, and a heavy play for a state that hasn't been won in years, Minnesota. I'm going to do rallies, I'm going to do speeches, I'm going to work them. That doesn't mean I'm going to work them as hard as I work Pennsylvania, where I'm doing very well."

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