New Swing State Survey Paints A Bleak Picture For President Biden's Re-Election Chances

As President Joe Biden attempts to convince his fellow Democrats that he is capable enough to stay in the presidential race and serve another four years, voters aren't as convinced. According to a new poll from Fabrizio Ward and Impact Research for AARP, the 81-year-old incumbent has fallen behind presumptive GOP nominee Donald Trump significantly following his disastrous performance at the first presidential debate.

The survey, taken from June 28 to July 2 with 600 likely voters, found that Trump is leading Biden by five points in a head-to-head matchup, with Trump securing 50 percent support compared to Biden's 45 percent. In a five-way race, Biden's odds of victory get even worse with Trump leading by six points with 44 percent backing compared to Biden's 38 percent, independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.'s nine percent, Green Party candidate Jill Stein's three percent, and Libertarian candidate Chase Oliver's one percent.

The survey found that Trump, in a head-to-head matchup, is leading the president by four points with independent voters. The AARP survey showed that Trump is beating Biden in nearly every age demographic as well, with Trump winning 35 to 49-year-olds by three points, 50 to 64-year-olds by 17 points, and over 65 by two points. The presumptive Democratic nominee was only able to win the youngest cohort, 18-34 year-olds, by two points.

The contrast between the two candidate's job approval and image is stark, to say the least. The survey found that 44 percent have a favorable view of President Trump, while only 38 percent have a favorable view of Biden. The 45th president also enjoys a 51 percent approval rating from Wisconsinites, while Biden's job approval stands at only 39 percent. This stark difference in approval ratings highlights the challenges Biden is facing as higher cost of living, an open border, and foreign policy humiliations continue to plague the administration.

While the survey discovered that Trump is besting Biden at nearly every turn, the poll found that Senator Tammy Baldwin (D-WI) is outperforming the 81-year-old president, a common theme throughout many swing states. Baldwin currently stands at 50 percent support compared to Eric Hovde's (R-WI) 45 percent support. The president's inability to match Baldwin's support proves the weakness of his candidacy and has been one justification for many Democrats and media personalities to call upon Biden to withdraw from the race and allow a more youthful candidate to take over the top of the ticket. While Biden has rejected these calls so far, polls like these will be more proof that President Biden is facing an uphill battle if he decides to stay in the race.

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