The 2024 election will be unlike any presidential election in recent memory, and Donald Trump is at the center of it. On top of the various prosecutions brought against him by left-wing prosecutors across the country, Trump is throwing another curveball into the race: opening up previously safe Democrat states for a potential flip. A new poll out from Pan Atlantic Research, taken from February 6-14 with 791 likely voters, found that the state of Maine, with its four electoral votes, could be a Republican flip in 2024.
The Pine Tree State, which separates its electoral college votes based on the statewide vote and the vote within congressional districts, went for Biden in 2020 by nine points, 53.09 percent to Trump's 44.02 percent. Trump won the state's 2nd Congressional District electoral college delegate, but Biden won the remaining three. Democrats in the state are in for a rude awakening, however.
According to the Pan Atlantic Research poll, Trump is leading Biden in the state by six points, with Trump at 38 percent, Biden at 32 percent, and 21 percent saying they would vote for someone else. In the state's 1st Congressional District, Biden still leads Trump by eight points, with the sitting president at 39 percent, Trump at 31 percent, and 23 percent supporting "other." In the 2nd Congressional District, Trump dominates with 45 percent support compared to Biden's 25 percent and 19 percent saying they would support someone else. Given these numbers, if the election were held today, Trump would net three electoral votes to Biden's one, making the electoral map even more optimistic for the 45th president.
Maine, which traditionally isn't a swing state, has seemingly gotten more Republican in recent years, given the plethora of polls showing an increasingly conservative electorate in the state. A poll conducted by Digital Research late last year found Biden only beating Trump by a single point statewide.
President Biden's failing presidency is drastically impacting his poll numbers. Independent voters are flocking to Trump and opening up states for a potential Republican flip that hasn't trended Republican in decades. The last time Maine awarded all four electoral votes to a Republican was George H. W. Bush in 1988. If Trump can even get three electoral votes from the state, he would once again create a political earthquake that, while unlikely to determine the 2024 race, will be a monumental achievement.
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