President Biden's tenure in the White House has been marred by persistently low approval ratings, a trend that began after the controversial withdrawal from Afghanistan in August 2021. This event marked a turning point, with his ratings consistently remaining underwater. Notably, Friday saw another historic low for the 81-year-old Democrat, underscoring the danger that his fledgling campaign is in.
Recent polling from Gallup revealed that Biden has the lowest approval rating of any of his modern contemporaries at this point in his presidency. In the 13th quarter of his presidency, Biden only has the approval of 38.7 percent of the country. This is in stark contrast to some of his predecessors at the same point in their term, with Trump at 46.8 percent approval, Obama at 45.9 percent approval, George W. Bush at 51 percent approval, Clinton at 53 percent approval, George H. W. Bush at 41.8 percent approval, Reagan at 54.8 percent approval, Carter at 47.7 percent approval, Nixon at 53.7 percent approval, and Eisenhower at a stunning 73.2 percent approval.
The implications of President Biden's historically low approval rating are significant, particularly as the Biden campaign intensifies its efforts in the swing states. Recent polling indicates that Trump is gaining ground in a majority of the battleground states, with a Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll showing Trump leading Biden by six points on average across the seven critical states. While Trump's lead is narrower in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, he is significantly ahead in Arizona, North Carolina, Nevada, and Georgia. The poll also revealed that Biden was leading Trump by a slim margin of two points in Michigan.
Trump's dominance of the sunbelt could very well be Biden's downfall. However, the presumptive GOP nominee must win one of the rustbelt states to win the presidency in 2024. If Trump is able to win Georgia, Arizona, North Carolina, and Nevada, then he would only be sitting at 268 electoral votes, two shy of winning the White House. Trump needs to flip Michigan, Wisconsin, or Pennsylvania to win in November, much like he did in 2016 against Hillary Clinton.
With Biden's historic job approval and an economy that is still reeling from inflation, Trump's chances to create another political earthquake in 2024 continue to grow by the day. Trump's current favorability ratings stand at 42.1 percent, according to Five Thirty Eight. The American people have simply had enough of President Biden's incompetence and are ready for the America First policies of 2017 to 2021 to return to 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue.
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