WATCH: CNN Data Guru Harry Enten Delivers Devastating News To Harris Campaign - Victory Would Be 'Historically Unprecedented'

Just over a month before Election Day, CNN Senior Data Reporter Harry Enten delivered devastating news to Vice President Kamala Harris' campaign after a recent poll showed that the American people overwhelmingly believe the country is not on the right track. The survey's findings spell disaster for the Harris-Walz campaign, which would have to reverse historical trends in a "historically unprecedented" way to win the election.

After CNN host John Berman asked Enten to describe the recent survey that asked respondents whether they thought the country was on the right track, CNN's data guru put the numbers into context. "Yeah, if we look at whether voters believe we're on the right track or the wrong track, I think that this sort of gets at a problem for Kamala Harris's campaign. Just 28 percent of Americans think the U.S. is on the right track," Enten explained, as reported by Mediaite. "And I want you to put that into perspective, right? When does the average when the incumbent party loses the election? Look at that: It's just 25 percent. That looks a heck of a lot like that 28 percent, right, that currently think the country is on the right track."

"When the White House party wins, i.e. Kamala Harris's party, the Democrats, 42 percent on average think that the country is on the right track. This 25 percent looks a lot more like this 28 percent. It doesn't look anything like this, 42 percent. This, to me, is a bad sign for Kamala Harris's campaign. The bottom line is it looks a lot more like a loser than it does like a winner when it comes to the country being on the right track," CNN's senior data reporter explained.

"Can an incumbent party win with numbers like this?" Berman asked his colleague.

"Yeah, so if we look historically speaking, right, and we say, okay, say the U.S. is on the right track, the incumbent party when they win. Today, again, it's just 28 percent. Look throughout history, right? — '96, '88, '04,  '12, '84 — in all of these instances, in all these instances, far more than 28 percent thought that the country was on the right track," the data analyst stated. "Thirty-nine was the lowest back in 1996. We got upwards of 47 percent in '84; of course, that was a blowout, right, for Ronald Reagan. So there is no historical precedent for the White House party winning another term in the White House when the country when just 28 percent of the country thinks that we're on the right track. John, simply put, it would be historically unprecedented."

The president's party has never (at least back to 1980) won another term in the White House with so few Americans saying the U.S. is on the right track (28%, today).

The average when the prez party loses (25%) is far closer to today's number, though there is a bit of a twist. pic.twitter.com/hZtWRMW9mn

— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) October 4, 2024