New internal polling in the key swing state of Wisconsin has Democrats and the Harris campaign worried about the Democrats' ticket chances in the so-called "blue wall" states of Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, which are critical to a Harris-Walz victory in November. The polling comes after the Cook Political Report moved the Wisconsin Senate race to a tossup, and President Donald Trump and Sen. JD Vance (R-OH) continue to hold massive rallies across the three states.
According to The Wall Street Journal, an internal poll conducted by Sen. Tammy Baldwin's (D-WI) campaign showed that Harris is falling behind Trump by three points while she maintains a two-point lead in her campaign against Republican Senate candidate Eric Hovde (R-WI). Cook Political Report confirmed the rightward shift in the state, moving Baldwin's race from "Lean Democrat" to "Tossup." The survey is causing local Democrats to sound the alarm, given that the "blue wall" states plus Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District represent the easiest path for Harris to win 270 Electoral College votes.
To try to counteract Trump's growing strength in these states, some Democrats have advised that Harris needs to make a more populist message on economics, such as those made by Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) during a recent appearance in Grand Rapids, Michigan. "We have got to understand that the billionaire class today not only has enormous political power, and that includes both political parties," Sanders said. "So one of the things that we have got to do is create a political movement in this country, led by the trade unions, which tells the billionaire class that we are tired of their greed."
The Harris campaign's lagging support in the critical battlegrounds is likely attributed to some organized labor groups abandoning the Democratic presidential candidate and Trump's strength amongst men without a college degree. As previously reported by the DC Enquirer, the International Association of Fire Fighters (IAFF) revealed last week that they would not endorse Harris in the 2024 race, forcing the campaign to rethink an event at a firehouse in Redford Township, Michigan. The IAFF isn't the only union that has refused to endorse in the 2024 election. The International Brotherhood of Teamsters also refused to throw their support behind Harris last month after the Teamsters leadership was unsatisfied with her answers to their questions on how she would fight against big business. Both unions endorsed President Biden in 2020.
While Harris has struggled to maintain the same level of support from organized labor compared to previous Democrats, the Trump campaign has been targeting working-class white voters vigorously, particularly honing in on the issues of fracking and electric vehicles. According to The Journal, the campaign has pointed out Harris' 2019 position on banning fracking and mandating electric vehicles. Trump campaign advisor Corey Lewandowski explained that Harris is "the most radical, dangerous nominee of a major party in the history of our country. The people of Michigan know it. The people who work in the auto industry know it."
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