Will You Vote For Trump? New Poll Shows Trump With 42 Point Lead Over Nearest Republican Competitor In Key Early Primary State

On Thursday, Emerson College released a new poll showing 45th President and leading Republican presidential contender Donald J. Trump with a commanding lead over his Republican competitors in a hypothetical Iowa Caucus matchup -- including a 42-point lead over Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R-FL). 

The poll, covering the period from May 19th through May 22nd, finds, "Former President Donald Trump holds 62% support in the Republican caucus, followed by Florida Governor Ron DeSantis with 20% support. Five percent support former Vice President Mike Pence and former US Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley respectively; 3% support US Senator Tim Scott (SC)."

"Trump’s lead in the caucus reflects his numbers in Emerson’s March New Hampshire primary poll, where he held a 41-point lead over DeSantis," Emerson College Polling Director Spencer Kimball noted. "The former president’s base continues to be voters under 35: 75% of whom support Trump, and voters without a college degree: 70% support Trump. DeSantis’s support is higher among voters with a postgraduate degree, with 29% support, still trailing Trump’s 37% with this group."

The poll also looks ahead to the 2024 general elections, delivering excellent news for Republicans. 

"In a hypothetical 2024 presidential matchup between Donald Trump and Joe Biden, Trump leads 49% to 38%; 10% would vote for someone else and 3% are undecided. In a matchup between Desantis and Biden, DeSantis leads 45% to 38%; 11% would support someone else and 6% are undecided," the poll reads.


The economy is the main issue of concern for Iowa voters. It is the most critical issue for 31 percent of voters. The economy is followed by education (15 percent), “threats to democracy” (15 percent), immigration (10%), abortion access (nine percent), and healthcare (eight percent).

Iowa opens the campaign season for Republicans as the first state caucus. A win in the Iowa Caucus gives the victor much-needed momentum to best his opponents in the primary process and, resultantly, the general elections. With Republicans set to dominate in the Hawkeye state, the 2024 election season will undoubtedly be engrossing. America and her people are craving change and they demand better than Biden.

While the primary season has yet to truly begin, all the available evidence suggests Donald J. Trump is still the definitive front-runner. However, with Florida Governor Ron DeSantis announcing his presidential campaign on Wednesday, Trump faces his first sizable competition in what is sure to be an intense primary season. 

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