Trump-Vance Campaign Releases Internal Polling Showing Ticket Leading In All Battleground States

On Thursday, the Trump campaign released a series of internal polls conducted by Tony Fabrizio and John Mclaughlin. The polls show the 45th president leading in every swing state as he crisscrosses the country, holding rallies and events in the seven battlegrounds. The polling comes as Democrats in the Rust Belt states begin to get worried about Vice President Kamala Harris' chances in November and as Trump gains ground in electoral models and the betting markets.

The survey data, collected from 800 likely voters between October 6 and October 9, found Trump leading significantly in the Sunbelt states. In Georgia, Trump holds a five-point lead, with 50 percent supporting him compared to 45 percent backing Harris. In Arizona, Trump leads by three points, 49 percent to 46 percent. Trump holds the same lead in Nevada, with 50 percent support compared to the Democratic ticket's 47 percent.

While Trump leads at or above the 3.5 percentage margin of error in the Sunbelt states, he holds a much tighter lead in the states bordering the Great Lakes. Trump holds a one-point lead in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, with each state's surveyed voters backing the Trump-Vance ticket with 49 percent support compared to the Harris-Walz tickets' 48 percent. The pollsters found similar results in North Carolina, where Trump leads by one point with 48 percent support compared to Harris' 47 percent.

"As you can see, President Trump holds an edge in all 7 Battlegrounds, including all the 'Blue Wall States.' This data projected out would put President Trump at 312 Electoral votes. As importantly, President Trump is at or on the precipice of 50% in virtually all these states," the memorandum reads. "Given today's high inflation data and Kamla Harris' admission that she would not have changed or done anything different than Joe Biden, we expect that President Trump's edge will only continue to solidify."

As previously reported by the DC Enquirer, local Democrats are beginning to panic after internal polling showed Harris struggling to maintain support in the Rust Belt. An internal poll conducted by Sen. Tammy Baldwin's (D-WI) campaign showed that Harris is falling behind Trump by three points while she maintains a two-point lead in her campaign against Republican Senate candidate Eric Hovde (R-WI). Cook Political Report confirmed the rightward shift in the state, moving Baldwin's race from "Lean Democrat" to "Tossup." The survey is causing local Democrats to sound the alarm, given that the "blue wall" states plus Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District represent the easiest path for Harris to win 270 Electoral College votes.

To try to counteract Trump's growing strength in these states, some Democrats have advised that Harris needs to make a more populist message on economics, such as those made by Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) during a recent appearance in Grand Rapids, Michigan. "We have got to understand that the billionaire class today not only has enormous political power, and that includes both political parties," Sanders said. "So one of the things that we have got to do is create a political movement in this country, led by the trade unions, which tells the billionaire class that we are tired of their greed."

The Harris campaign's lagging support in the critical battlegrounds is likely attributed to some organized labor groups abandoning the Democratic presidential candidate and Trump's strength among men without a college degree. The so-called "Blue Wall" states are essential for Democrats to win in November, and if Trump is able to chip away at any of the three states, particularly Pennsylvania, his path to victory becomes far easier.

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